Adrian Mac Liman

During the first months of the presidential campaign, critics of the then-Senator from Illinois stressed special in his middle name Hussein hinting that a criptomusulman could hardly understand the complex issues of the Jewish State. However, the initial pessimism gave way to jubilation following the appointment of several contributors of Jewish origin and personalities who do not hide their sympathy for Israel. But when it comes to the truth, political analysts interest focuses on the contents of the draft agenda drawn up by two advisers of foreign policy of the new President, general Brent Scowcroft and the political scientist Zbigniew Brzezinski, former directors of national security in the Ford administration, Bush (father) and Carter. Apparently, the Obama plan contemplates a possible peace agreement between Tel Aviv and Damascus in exchange for the return of the Golan, the withdrawal of Israel to the 1967 borders, a policy of compensation for Palestinian refugees, in return for the waiver of the right of return, the dual capital of Jerusalem and the creation of a fully demilitarized Palestinian State. The authors of the document are modelled the general lines of the failed plan Clinton.

The feasibility of this proposal depends, largely, of the outcome of the Israeli general elections. If the candidate of the grouping of centre-right Kadima, Tzipi Livni, rises with the victory, the negotiations could prosper. But if you win the right-wing Benjamin Netanyahu, it can be assumed that Obama will eventually encounter another refusal. Obama will need to arm yourself with patience to correct the mistakes made in the area by his predecessor, since Israeli-Palestinian puzzle joined the uncomfortable situation of Iraq, the need to tone down the verbal conflict with the Iran of the ayatollahs, the reluctance of the Saudi princes, the progress of the offensive Taliban in Afghanistan and in neighboring Pakistan no less worrying radicalization. In the majority of cases, it’s open wounds.