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Problem of any analysis tool is precisely that for market forecasting, he is far from being alone. Each trader, using a different set of analytical tools, forms in itself a purely his own opinion on the market. Hence the generated chaos, which each The trader has to fight for profits. Of course, it is clear that if there was only one a tool of analysis, and all traders to use it then no one would lose, respectively, no one would win – the market would did not exist. But not every trader is aware there is a paradox – the existence of any financial market is possible due to the chaos that they themselves have created and to which they themselves then, and fight. Profits in this the battle goes to the winner. So how does this become a winner if any analysis tool designed to help combat the chaos he himself had participated in its creation and maintenance?? And it needs to do two things: 1. Stop shift the responsibility for any indicator, waiting, and assuming that it must give the correct answers.
2. And to ask a fairly simple question: 'What makes a price change in the market? ". (Question now is not about whether that come into the market of exporters / importers that are creating the market supply / demand forced it to move. The impact of such companies in the market is small compared to the volume of speculative transactions.) Response to a question is very simple, but that it is the key to the market: 'The change in market prices is based on the opinions (or expectations), which inclines the vast majority of traders in a given period of time.'.
Of all the market goods most attention attracted by the gold and oil. Rise or fall in prices for these goods depends on many factors. Foremost among such factors include economic stability global economy. In recent years the economic crisis, reflected the fall of the Dow, led to a rise in gold prices and reduced demand for oil and petroleum products. In the second half of 2008 psychological mark $ 1000 an ounce of yellow metal has been broken since the fall of stock prices has accelerated, and, of course, investors in this situation have preferred metal having eternal value. It should be noted that the extraction of gold – expensive production, stocks of this precious metal increases slowly and, unlike oil, gold does not require any special storage conditions. Benefits for investors in favor of gold evident.
Ascending the trend for gold is quite objective and justified, but there are no less objective economic laws, in particular, the law of supply and demand, formulated in 1890 the British economist A. Marshall. Yes, as long as investors ready to purchase this product in this market. According to the law of demand, the price increase implies a decrease in demand for goods at other equal conditions. Is not the rise in gold prices in recent months, the movement of inertia? Let us turn to the graphs of the Dow and oil. Impulsive drop in the Dow Jones in 2008 – the beginning of 2009 years led to an even more precipitous drop in prices for "black gold".